The Decline of American Empire in One Photograph (gif Hyperallergic)

The American Empire is Being Defeated, Asia will Lead the Future

Alexander Mercouris is A commentator on international affairs whose predictions I have been keeping track of for A long time, and they thus far have a shocking 100% record of subsequent confirmation (accuracy). Nobody else comes close to that, except the anonymous author of the “Moon of Alabama” blog. Almost always, those two have been predicting the same things at the same times, independently of each other; and, since MoA has almost always been predicting the same outcomes that Mercouris has (though often on the basis of evidence that isn T quite as reliable), MoA S record is almost as good. They both agree on the following.

Russia will win it S war against Ukraine.

Turkey will have to support Russia on any matter where America’s anti Russian military alliance, NATO (of which Turkey is a member and therefore possesses A geostrategically crucial veto-power within NATO), poses A real threat against Russia S national sovereignty; that is, where America poses the potential to become empowered to make dictats to Russia regarding Russia S domestic policies and it S foreign relations (in other words: to make Russia into a US vassal nation like America S existing allies are).

Russia will have to accommodate Turkey S needs, because Turkey controls the two straits, both the Bosphorus and the Dardanelles, that control ship access between the Black Sea and the Atlantic Ocean (via the Mediterranean Sea), which two passageways are crucial to Russia S national security.

On June 8th, A video by Mercouris headlined “Military collapse in north Donbass. Turkey and Russia move closer together as EU crumbles”, and cited his evidence that the present moment constitutes a turning point in which America S global power has declined so much, and that Russia S global power has increased so much, so that Turkey will, at least for as long as Tayyip Erdogan continues to lead Turkey, exercise its veto power within America S anti Russian alliance, NATO, whenever doing so will boost not only Turkey S national security but boost Russia S national security.

This is A radical break away from the past, when the US Government was so powerful as to be able to get all of NATO S members to vote in unison favorably toward any proposal that would pose an additional threat against Russia S national security.

Consequently, yet another US coup attempt against Erdogan is likely.

Mercouris discussed there, with his interviewer and friend Alex Christaforu, the effort by John Bolton and his financial backers to precipitate another coup attempt in Turkey. On 27 August 2018, America S The Associated Press bannered “In Familiar Dance, Turkey Warms to Russia As US Ties Unravel”, and reported that, “Relations between Turkey and Russia are cozy, prompting worries in the West of A potentially critical rift in the NATO alliance. But Turkey S president may be engaged in A balancing act, tactically turning to Russia as ties with the United States further deteriorate.” Then, on 11 April 2019, Vox headlined “How America S relationship with Turkey fell apart”, and (as is done in virtually all US media) implicitly assumed that the US regime was on the good side, and that any resisting Government (in this case, Turkey) is on the bad side, in any dispute. but, except for such false assumptions, it S explicit statements were accurate, and sufficed to make clear the fact that “Ankara S recent actions have blown A hole in the center of their alliance” (without Vox S noting that the same was also true of Washington S actions), and that “as this divorce happens, America S ability to work with Turkey in the Middle East and Europe will continue to dwindle, meaning US influence there, at least somewhat, degrades.”